Montaigne on Predictions: The Wisdom of Uncertainty
In a dimly lit study, a man bends over a manuscript. Outside the wind howls, and somewhere in the distance an astrologer makes his calculations. The man at the desk smiles, sets his quill to paper, and writes: what can we truly know about tomorrow? Michel de Montaigne — the sixteenth-century philosopher who made himself the subject of his own study — turned his attention in his eleventh essay to a question that has haunted humanity for centuries: the value of predictions. The Heart of the Essay In this brief but provocative essay, Montaigne examines the deeply human desire to know the future. He poses a fundamental question: why are we so inclined to place our faith in predictions when the evidence for their reliability is so scarce? At its core, the essay explores the tension between our profound longing for certainty and the inescapable uncertainty of human existence. Montaigne opens with a characteristically sober observation: throughout the ages, people have devised all manner of methods to peer into the future. From studying the flight of birds to interpreting dreams, from reading entrails to casting astrological charts — every era has had its preferred forms of divination. But what, he […]